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2018年中国房地产开发投资保持高位 专家建言楼市稳定为主

2019-01-22 16:48:22

  忻州开空白发票_電┿微 136-2094-5454 ----σ σ【840040449】诚/信/合/作,100%保。真。售/后.保/障,长/期/有/效经参头版评论:明年经济政策“稳”字当头
  
     中新社北京1月21日电 (张文绞)中国国家统计局21日公布2018年全国房地产开发投资和销售情况数据。2018年全国房地产开发投资120264亿元(人民币,下同),比上年增长9.5%,全国商品房销售面积171654万平方米,比上年增长1.3%,全国商品房销售额149973亿元,增长12.2%。
  中国社科院城市与竞争力研究中心主任倪鹏飞21日在中新社举办的“国是论坛——2018经济形势分析会”上表示,房地产开发投资保持高位,从短期来看对宏观经济增长是有利的,从长期来看对实体经济发展有挤出效应。
  倪鹏飞指出,销售面积比上年增长1.3%,销售额比上年增长12.2%,如果用销售额增速减去销售面积增速,2018年房价总体增幅仍然较高。值得注意的是,房地产过热对调结构、防风险、降成本是不利的。房地产过快增长会推高实体经济成本,导致实体投资和居民消费被挤出。
  华夏新供给经济学研究院首席经济学家贾康指出,2018年全国商品房销售面积增长1.3%,销售额增长12.2%,说明成交在保持一定活跃度的同时商品房销售均价是上升的,未来解决高房价问题要靠基础性制度建设。
  倪鹏飞强调,当前要正确处理好宏观经济与房地产的关系。他认为,过去经济好的时候,房地产过热要被打压,经济不好又要靠房地产刺激经济增长。现在,中国经济发展进入一个新阶段,过去的关系已经不适用了。
  倪鹏飞预判,2019年房地产市场“房住不炒”,因城施策,稳预期、稳房价、稳地价的调控思路没有改变,预计房地产市场以稳定为主,处于可控的、可预期的发展空间内。(完)



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